By far the most interesting Kentucky Derby related news for Sunday was
the decision by Javier Castellano to ride Algorithms instead of Union Rags in
the Fountain of Youth (G2) February 26th.
Not much explanation was given so of course the debate begins. Was the decision based on which horse
he felt has a better shot in the Kentucky Derby or did it come down to loyalty
to Todd Pletcher? We’ll have the
answer soon as to whether it was the right decision, but you have to feel both
envy and empathy for the choice he had to make. Algorithms and Union Rags have both shown raw talent,
ratability, and poise and many feel they are the two best current prospects- a
belief somewhat confirmed in the Future Wager pool that just ended. Julien Leaparoux had the good fortune of
being trainer Michael Matz’s first replacement choice to ride Union Rags. Known to be a top jockey and calm rider,
Leparoux in the irons should not deter any backers of Union Rags// Creative
Cause fired a bullet 4-furlong move at Santa Anita, his final serious move
before Saturday’s one-turn San Vicente (G2). He’ll likely only face 4 other rivals, including Secret Circle
(who is also still listed as a probably for the Southwest at Oaklawn), Smoking
G, American Act, and Captain Obvious// The potential field for the Risen Star
(G2) at the Fairgrounds became a little more clear. El Padrino, Z Dager, Mr. Bowling, Shared Property, Mark
Valeski, and Optimizer are all scheduled for the February 25th
showdown// Longview Drive will ship to Oaklawn for the Southwest// Pool #1 for
the Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool closed at 6pm EST today. Wagering set a record with $631,304 in
bets, up 6.6% from last year. With
Union Rags and the field getting bet down to 7-1 and 3-2 respectively, there
were some nice odds to be had on other serious contenders for the Kentucky
Derby. Midnight Transfer 67-1,
Take Charge Indy 42-1, I’ll Have Another 29-1, Discreet Dancer 30-1, and even
Fed Biz at 21-1 could be much lower on Derby day with a win or two on the
trail//
Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Pool #1
Articles
Castellano
to ride Algorithms, not Union Rags (Zipse at the Track Blog)
Longview
Drive to ship for Southwest (Brisnet)
Risen
Star field taking shape (The Downey Profile)
Late
bloomers might have edge in Run for the Roses (Lexington Herald Leader)
Pletcher’s
barn loaded again, but trainer wary of pitfalls (Lexington Herald Leader)
12
horses to get excited about (Lexington Herald Leader)
The
next dozen contenders (Lexington Herald Leader)
2012
Kentucky Derby analysis: Week 3 The Hutcheson Stakes (Bleacher Report)
Works
Hogy- HAW- 3F- 39:00-
B- 4/6
Smoking G- SA- 5F- 59:20- H- 1/30
Drill- SA- 5F- 1.02:00- H- 45/76
Midnight Transfer- SA- 5F- 59:40- H- 5/76
Creative Cause- HOL- 6F- 1.11:40- H- 1/17
Sir Bond- FG- 4F- 51:60- B- 31/47
Sabercat- SA- 4F- 50:60- H- 12/16
Hansen- GP- 5F- 1.02:00- B- 6/37
Currency Swap- GP- 4F- 50:80- B- 43/54
Motor City- PMM- 5F- 1.02:42- B-11/21
Thursby- PMM- 5F- 1.02:72 B-17/21